winter outlook
What I am not liking about October!
We gradually switched from a cool, rainy spring and early-summer into a warmer, drier late-summer and early autumn. In and of itself, that wasn’t a big deal in September. But now that we are getting deep into October, we need to step back and take a look at the big picture. At this stage of […]
Early Snodeo Outlook: Update 11/28/16
As a reminder, snowmobiling season starts after sundown Sunday, December 4th for Hamilton and northern Herkimer Counties at the conclusion of big game hunting season. So the first official day is Monday, December 5th. I know people are wondering what the conditions are going to be like for Opening Day and for Snodeo Weekend December […]
“Final” Winter 2016-17 Outlook
With the mainly mild and quiet autumn we’ve had until this week, it’s natural to wonder if that will carry into the winter. The dominant EPO+ weather pattern (persistent low pressures near Alaska) has maintained a strong zonal flow across North America, keeping the cold air locked up over Siberia. I’m fond of saying “The snow pack […]
Winter 2016-17 Outlook
With all of these predictions for “La Niña Super Cold and Snowy Winters” people are starting to ask me what I think this winter might bring. It’s a bit amusing because my Winter Outlook 2015-16 was just about as wrong as it could be. I think the only thing I got right was that winter would be […]
Winter Outlook: Update 11/5/15
Siberian Snow Cover Throughout October, the spread of snow cover from Siberia into Eurasia was ahead of climatological schedule. The books have closed on October 2015 Eurasian snow cover and the numbers are impressive. This chart snows a very robust Eurasian snow cover at the end of October: The relative lack of snow cover in Alaska and […]