Winter
2013-14 Winter Outlook
I’ve been stringing along the Winter Outlook for a while. So it’s time for me to put up or shut up. First, let me get the disclaimer out of the way: This outlook is a general idea of what I think this winter might do. It is impossible to predict individual storms, cold surges and […]
Winter’s Path to Redemption: Update 1/15/13
Much has been made about Lance Armstrong’s “Path to Redemption.” But I’m here to talk about something that’s actually important: Winter’s Redemption. It turns out that January Thaw has caused people to forget the big snow blitz that we had to close out December, like it never happened! Well it DID happen and we’re going […]
December Winter Woe! Update 12/8/12
Wow! This ECMWF ensemble for December 18th is a serious kick in the gut: Lots of problems for us, including: 1. Strong Polar Vortex (PV) over eastern Siberia 2. No hint of a North American Polar Vortex 3. No hit of a Greenland based NAO- 4. Screaming Pacific Jet stream This pattern leaves NO path […]
When will winter stand up and be counted? Update 12/3/12
Winter poked his head around here last week, but that seems like a distant memory now. What’s going on? This forecast panel for December 4th shows the problem that I have been talking about for the past week or so: The powerful Bering Sea Omega Ridge and Gulf of Alaska Vortex couplet remains cemented in […]
Winter is here! Update 11/24/12
The first true wintery blast of the season made it here today. Snow showers have accumulated 2-3 inches over the Western Adirondacks while I managed a nice little dusting at the ilsnow.com storm center at Indian Lake. Temperatures never made it out of the 20s this afternoon and strong, gusty winds made it feel much […]