Weather Blog
End of November: Update 11/20/12
Last night’s ECMWF is painting an intriguing picture for November 28th/29th, which is one possible manifestation of the AO-/NAO- pattern I talked about yesterday: The Canadian Polar vortex is dropping southward, possibly on its way to Hudson’s Bay. The Greenland Block is starting to show up as well. While this happens, you can see a […]
Winter’s first blast coming this weekend: Update 11/19/12
We haven’t had any real rain or snow over the past two weeks, but temperatures have regularly fallen into the teens at night. This has resulted in ice skimmed ponds and frozen ground. A strong disturbance is forecast to track from the Great Lakes across the Adirondacks on Saturday: By Saturday morning, it should be […]
November Weather Outlook: 11/15/12
As per my weather outlook from last week, we will be waiting a while for our first significant snow of the season in the Adirondacks. This ECMWF panels shows our problem, loud and clear! This configuration of the Polar Vortex (PV) displaced over far northern Canada combined with the Gulf of Alaska storm (X) teleconnects […]
Snow Cover Update 11/9/12 & Weather Outlook
Snow cover comparison 2011/2012 for November 9th: The extent of Eurasian snow cover is somewhat less than the near-record expanse of last year. The biggest difference on OUR side of the Pole is the present healthy southern Canadian snow cover compared to last year at this time. When will the snow cover get here? Unfortunately, […]
Odds of significant snow decreasing: Update 11/5/12
The shorter range models have picked up a trend that would quash the possibility of a significant early season snow for the Adirondacks Wednesday night into Thursday. This GFS panel shows the problem: The two shortwaves (bundles of atmospheric energy) responsible for developing the nor’easter fail to phase. Instead of a large monster storm, we’re […]
