Weather Blog
Busy, stormy weather for the next week! Update 12/14/12
I’ve got lots to talk about in a short amount of time. Here’s the set-up by Sunday evening: Normally, a storm cutting through Upper Michigan is just plain rain here. But the blocking high over eastern Canada changes the game, especially over the south/central and eastern Adirondacks where cold air damming holds on the longest. […]
Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? Update 12/11/12
I upset more than a few people with my recent outlook for December. Please understand: I’m just calling it as I see it. I don’t peddle false hope just to keep people happy. My job is get it right or go down in flames trying to get it right. Now that we got the stomach […]
December Winter Woe! Update 12/8/12
Wow! This ECMWF ensemble for December 18th is a serious kick in the gut: Lots of problems for us, including: 1. Strong Polar Vortex (PV) over eastern Siberia 2. No hint of a North American Polar Vortex 3. No hit of a Greenland based NAO- 4. Screaming Pacific Jet stream This pattern leaves NO path […]
When will winter stand up and be counted? Update 12/3/12
Winter poked his head around here last week, but that seems like a distant memory now. What’s going on? This forecast panel for December 4th shows the problem that I have been talking about for the past week or so: The powerful Bering Sea Omega Ridge and Gulf of Alaska Vortex couplet remains cemented in […]
Long Range Weather Update: 11/26/12
After this week’s cold and snow there will be a significant warm-up starting this weekend, especially by Sunday. This panel shows the mechanics of why we have not been able to sustain cold for weeks at a time, despite having the OPPOSITE North Atlantic/Arctic Oscillation pattern compared to last winter: The strong blocking Bering Sea Ridge and […]
