Weather Blog
December Winter Woe! Update 12/8/12
Wow! This ECMWF ensemble for December 18th is a serious kick in the gut: Lots of problems for us, including: 1. Strong Polar Vortex (PV) over eastern Siberia 2. No hint of a North American Polar Vortex 3. No hit of a Greenland based NAO- 4. Screaming Pacific Jet stream This pattern leaves NO path […]
When will winter stand up and be counted? Update 12/3/12
Winter poked his head around here last week, but that seems like a distant memory now. What’s going on? This forecast panel for December 4th shows the problem that I have been talking about for the past week or so: The powerful Bering Sea Omega Ridge and Gulf of Alaska Vortex couplet remains cemented in […]
Long Range Weather Update: 11/26/12
After this week’s cold and snow there will be a significant warm-up starting this weekend, especially by Sunday. This panel shows the mechanics of why we have not been able to sustain cold for weeks at a time, despite having the OPPOSITE North Atlantic/Arctic Oscillation pattern compared to last winter: The strong blocking Bering Sea Ridge and […]
Winter is here! Update 11/24/12
The first true wintery blast of the season made it here today. Snow showers have accumulated 2-3 inches over the Western Adirondacks while I managed a nice little dusting at the ilsnow.com storm center at Indian Lake. Temperatures never made it out of the 20s this afternoon and strong, gusty winds made it feel much […]
End of November: Update 11/20/12
Last night’s ECMWF is painting an intriguing picture for November 28th/29th, which is one possible manifestation of the AO-/NAO- pattern I talked about yesterday: The Canadian Polar vortex is dropping southward, possibly on its way to Hudson’s Bay. The Greenland Block is starting to show up as well. While this happens, you can see a […]
