Adirondack Trail Motel

Weather Blog

Could February end up snowy? Update 2/16/13

A couple of weeks ago, I said we would need a strong finish to February to have any hope for March. It appears that may be the case with the NAO-/AO- configuration forecast to set up for the later half of February: This map looks interesting: Toward the end of February, there would be no […]

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Nemo Recap: 2/11/13

There were a number of unkind comments directed towards “weathermen” in regards to Friday’s storm. They weren’t directed specifically at me. But I’m in a weird position of defending myself, even when I nailed this one. Let’s replay the sequence: Saturday, Feb 2: This was my first mention of the possible storm. At the time, […]

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End of Week Snowstorm! Update 2/6/13

Any skepticism I had about significant snowfall from the upcoming storm has been quelled by radar and model trends, all pointing UP for us! Precipitation is starting to blossom with the northern Pacific jet shortwave: ECMWF is showing Pacific shortwave (X1: primary storm) retaining its strength into Friday, with the subtropical shortwave (X2: secondary storm) […]

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Possible Thursday Night & Friday Snow Event: Update 2/5/13

There is some buzz about the potential end of week snow event. So lets get down to it! Here is the 12Z Euro’s sequence of events: If all goes according to this plan, there will be a significant coastal storm pounding New England Friday into Saturday. The fast Pacific jet stream is pushing the storm […]

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Is Winter Slipping Away? Update 2/2/13

What started with so much promise late December and early January has gradually wasted away to a corpse. As I like to say, “The snow pack doesn’t lie!” After the Thaw to end January, here is the snow pack comparison for February 1st between 2013 and 2012: There are subtle variations, but the pattern is […]

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