Mid-November 2022 fulfilled its promise in a big way, culminating with an epic, blockbuster lake-effect snow event during November 16-21 timeframe. This event mostly avoided the central Adirondacks. But we did score our first real snow of the season November 15-16 with a bit over 4 inches in Indian Lake, NY.
Snow cover hung around to secure a White Thanksgiving. The cold pattern has since relaxed its grip, for reasons I telegraphed in my November 10th report.
What’s next?
The remainder of November 2022 will not bring meaningful snow into Upstate NY. For next week, western Canada and adjoining northwestern United States will be ground zero for cold and snow.
Entering snowmobiling season
For Hamilton and northern Herkimer counties, snowmobiling season starts after the conclusion of regular deer hunting season at sundown Sunday, December 4, 2022. Old Forge Snodeo is the weekend of December 9-11.
It’s very doubtful that snowmobiling season will debut with rideable snow. But I believe that ilsnow land will be white by Snodeo Weekend, perhaps with enough snow cover to ride Moose River Plains into the western Adirondacks.
Let’s take a look!
During the week of December 5-10, EPS Ensembles show a shift of Polar Vortex (PV) position into Hudson Bay. That should open up opportunity for lake-effect snow events. Although the brunt of winter cold would be anchored mid-continent, seasonal cold should kick the Great Lakes snow machine into gear again.
Weather systems will roll through once every 2 or 3 days. Once we transition into a colder regime, that could open up opportunities for general snow events, in addition to lake-effect snow events.
Beyond that?
I think a cold (and possibly snowy) regime would last into mid-December. After that, we’d have to wait and see. Moderately strong La Nina events haven’t yielded great results in December over the past 2 years. We’re heading into this winter under another moderately strong La Nina.
Get ready!
For the ilsnow nation,
Darrin
This report is brought to you by Steet Ponte Auto Group. Many of the vehicles here in Indian Lake are bought from the Steet Ponte. Co-owner Joe Steet is a huge fan and booster of ilsnow.com. If you’re looking for a new truck, give Steet Ponte a good look.
