With the first significant snow event for the central Adirondacks in the books, we’ve finally crossed the threshold into “real snowmobiling” season. You can click here to read the story of Monday’s snowmobile ride.
I think the good times will probably continue through the remainder of January and we step into February on a favorable note.
This is courtesy of a REAL pattern change….
What’s up?
Into the last week of January 2022, the eastern Pacific will be dominated by an extreme Rex Block which stacks a stationary High to the north of a semi-stationary Low.
The Rex Block in that location acts to hold the positive phased Pacific-North America Oscillation (PNA+) in place. Since Rex Blocks are notoriously slow to dissolve, this regime should last for a while.
The temperature anomaly forecast shows a complete wholesale pattern change. Remember when the cold was banked from Alaska into western Canada and it was mild on our side? It’ll be totally reversed from that.
Cold should become a no-brainer into the foreseeable future. Snow opportunities should increase as well with a Ferris wheel of weather systems dropping from Canada around the base of the Polar Vortex (PV). Most of them should be light to modest. But on occasion, one of these systems may generate a nor’easter storm.
Of course, we’re not going to know whether we could be taken to pound town until days before an event. But this becomes a numbers game. If enough opportunities get thrown our way, we’re eventually going to win – and possibly BIG!
Longer range?
Doesn’t it seem like we are in the same boat as last winter in some respects? After a warm autumn and early winter, it got cold in January. Then the central Adirondacks got its first true dump of snow on Martin Luther King, Jr Weekend to push us into “real snowmobiling”. Sound familiar? And we kept it solid through February.
Deja vu all over again? Not so fast grasshopper! All winters are unique unto themselves. But the similarity is enough to make me muse over it.
At least we have good scenarios to ponder now. That’s all we can ask for after yet another slow start.
For the ilsnow nation,
Darrin
This report is brought to you by Chef Darrell’s Mountain Diner on the snowmobile trail in Blue Mountain Lake! A traditional diner serving breakfast all day, as well as lunch and dinner. They use fresh ingredients to handcraft a home-style menu in a casual, family-friendly environment. Open Thursday through Sunday all winter.
