Opening Day for the 2017-18 snowmobiling season came and went without any fanfare.
It was a beautiful day to take a walk, but that’s not what we’re looking for at this point. 😉
So? How about Snodeo Weekend?
There should be one meaningful snow opportunity prior to the weekend: A lake-effect snow event centered on Thursday.
Unfortunately, the wind trajectory will probably be from the west-southwest for the heart of the event, placing the significant snows well northwest of Moose River Plains:
The weekend seems to offer some promise with a deep trough approaching the eastern United States:
Unfortunately, the polar and subtropical jets appear to be totally disjointed with little chance of phasing into a significant snow event. The model-ology is all over the place with timing of the energy pieces. There will be chances for accumulating snow over the weekend, but nothing to really latch onto yet.
Bottom line
Unless Thursday’s lake-effect snows dip much further south than expected and/or the weekend gels in a way that I’m not foreseeing right now, our prospects to ride Moose River Plains on Snodeo Weekend seem rather sketchy. But at least it would be seasonably cold with the feeling of winter in the air and some white on the ground.
Next Week? Siberian Express!
You can’t draw it up for cold much better than this:
An excellent cross-Polar flow should become established between the massive western North American ridging (PNA+/EPO-) and Polar Vortex parked under the Greenland Block (NAO-).
The position of the Polar Vortex appears to favor Canadian clippers and lake-effect snows as opposed to true nor’easters taking it to the house here. But it only takes one Canadian clipper on steroids to get Moose River Plains busy in a hurry for us!
One thing for sure: It will turn mighty cold next week! Even if we don’t get major snow, we’ll be freezing up the swamps and icing over the lakes with sub-zero nights. We can certainly do worse in mid December. 🙂
For the ilsnow nation,
Darrin
This report is brought to you by Pilot Knob Marina in Lake George. Just get off Northway I-87 Exit 20, then follow NY Route 149 East until you hit the junction of NY Route 149 and Bay Road. Pilot Knob Marina features a wide selection of new and pre-owned Arctic Cat snowmobiles & ATVs. If you see Nick Barber, tell him that Darrin @ ilsnow.com sent ya!
