The shorter range models have picked up a trend that would quash the possibility of a significant early season snow for the Adirondacks Wednesday night into Thursday. This GFS panel shows the problem:
The two shortwaves (bundles of atmospheric energy) responsible for developing the nor’easter fail to phase. Instead of a large monster storm, we’re left with smaller storm with the potential for significant snow shifted eastward to the higher elevations of New Hampshire and Maine.
ECMWF has picked up this trend as well:
The ensemble of models are showing either a clear miss for the Adirondacks, or some light snow on the back side of the storm. Either way, this event will PROBABLY be a meteorological near-miss for us.
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